Archive for category National

How Vulnerable are Dems in the Midterms?

A lot of talk is, again, cirulating the political water coolers about the vulnerability of Democrats in the upcoming Midterm elections.  With the recent announcement by Evan Bayh that he will not seek re-election in November, many are asking the big question… Just how vulnerable are Democrats this year?

Chris Matthews from Hardball gives us his big number: 29% of a chance Dems lose control of the Senate:

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Politico headlined its website today with a story on five different ways Democrats, for lack of a better phrase, can screw themselves over and lose control of the Senate:

The lesson of the tumultuous past 45 days is that the contours of the political landscape can change in an instant — and a death, a retirement or a top candidate’s decision not to run can wreak havoc on the best laid political plans.

Click Here for full Politico article.  Video Below

 

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Additionally, bringing it a little closer to home, a recent Rassmussen Poll shows the race to re-elect CA Senator, Barbara Boxer, will be a close one:

Boxer leads former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina 46% to 42%, virtually unchanged from January. Another seven percent (7%) would vote for some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are undecided. Boxer led Fiorina by nine points in November and 10 points in September.

The incumbent also holds a four-point lead over former Congressman Tom Campbell, 45% to 41%. Four percent (4%) like another candidate, and 10% are undecided. Boxer held the same lead over Campbell, just after he joined the race in January.

Boxer leads still state Assemblyman Chuck Devore, 47% to 42%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate in that match-up, and five percent (5%) are undecided. In January, Boxer held a 46% to 40% advantage over Devore. In November, she led Devore by 10 points.

Colin Powell Says DADT Should Be Repealed!

Colin Powell today joined Admiral Mullin to oppose Don’t Ask Don’t Tell and call for its repeal!  Check out this video from tonight’s Hardball with Chris Matthews as he interviews a Republican and Democratic strategist on the issue.

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The State of Don’t Ask Don’t Tell

Yes, like a good political junkie / nerd, i excitedly and hurried my way home from work at 5:30 so i could arrive at my apartment in time to watch the State of the Union address from start to finish.  Yes, i made it as well as made dinner in time to watch Obama speak.

I’m not here to write a article going over the entirety of the speech.  Mostly what i can tell you is that it was a great speech of one liners and bumper stickers.  It was brilliantly prepared to put the face of the blame game squarely (and rightfully) on the side of the Republicans.  But the one thing i took from it was the one thing i knew was coming… Obama called for the repeal of military’s Don’t Ask Don”t Tell policy (the DODT section is short and the vid below covers other stuff as well):

I admit that i actually went in to wathing the address hoping that Obama would say something beyond “I will work with…” or mereley suggesting or calling for the repeal of Dont Ask Dont Tell.  I have to say i am one of those gay political activists (and donors) who believes Obama could solve this problem with, literally, the flick of a pen on an executive order that simply tells the military to stop trying.  Oh well.  I will say that even that call for, suggesting or even promise to work with is a first step.  But the repeal of this law is the final step that Obama should shoot for.

I still remain skeptical of Obama’s promises.  His promise to work with both Congress and the military is familiar from campaign rhetoric (Disclosure: I worked for and voted for Hillary).  But in the face of a troubled economy and suffering health care system, i can sit back and say, “Fine.  Work on the other stuff.”  But how long can you use the excuse of more pressing national matters before the matter of honorable and patriatic Americans being forced out of the military, who desperately needs many of their skills, is tackled and repealed?

It’s not all Obama, i agree.  Repealing DODT is a political hot potatoe.  Conservatives and the down Right (typo intentional) anti-gay groups will come out and try to keep things as they are.  Take John McCain’s statement immediately following the State of the Union:

“At a time when our armed forces are fighting and sacrificing on the battlefield, now is not the time to abandon the policy,” said McCain, R-Ariz.

Read full MSNBC article here

I have to say i’m actually really offended by John McCain’s statement.  To me, it feels as if he’s implying that the sacrifices by gay servicemen and women are somehow less than those by their straight brothers and sisters in arms.  As if allowing patriotic men and women who have voluntarily given up their civilian lives to fight and die in two wars; for people who don’t even want to acknowledge their rights as individuals; that to allow them to serve openly will somehow be harmful to everyone else.  Screw you John McCain.  Would you have turned away a gay servicemember had one come to rescue you from your Viatnamese prison because it would somehow discredit the sacrifices you made in war?

The point here is that there will probably never be a “good time” to tackle Don’t Ask Don’t Tell.  It will be a political hot button issue until it is finally repealed.  Gay activists are not wrong, nor selfish, nor impatient in their pursuit of equality and it should never be said that we do not act.  We should continue to press Obama and other politicians to face the fact that tackling DODT is going to be tough.  But in the recent words of President Obama: “It is the right thing to do” and ”we don’t quit. I don’t quit. Let’s seize this moment”  Let us repeal Don’t Ask Don’t Tell!

State of the Union – Tonight at 6PM!

Don’t forget!  Obama’s 1st State of the Union address will take place TONIGHT at 6:00PM PST.  Don’t be afraid to tell the bartender to change the channel!  Every major news network will be broadcasting the speech.

Here are some fun links:

State of the Union Drinking Game! by Huffington Post

State of the Union Talking Points! by Politico

“Game Change” – The book with all the buzz

There is a new book out that has garnered all the buzz from political junkies since its release: Game Change, by verteran political insiders, Mark Halperin and John Heilemann.  Unlike The Battle for America 2008 by Haynes Johnson and Dan Balz, which is more of a reporter’s insider view of the 2008 campaign season, Game Change is a book of all the small detailed dirty gossip.  Its the book that gives you the water cooler stuff:  John and Elizabeth Edwards, Sarah Palin and John McCain, Bill & Hillary Clinton, The Clintons vs. The Obamas, what the GOP really thought about Obama, and many others not so rosey stories.

I have not had a chance to read the book so i will limit what i critique the book for.  Nevertheless, the book has come under fire from liberals and conservatives alike.  Not surprising since it doesnt paint a flattering picture of anyone in its pages, including my beloved Hillary.  The book relies heavily on anonymous sources leading some to question the accuracy and fairness of the book.

Below is a clip from my show that you will come to realize is my favorite political talk show: Hardball with Chris Matthews on MSNBC.  In this 10+ minute segment, Chris Matthews discusses the book with NBC’s Chuck Todd and NEWSWEEKS’ Howard Fineman.

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[Full Disclaimer: I have not read the book.  Unlike Chris Matthews who in the segment proudly states he recieved an advanced copy, i am not as loved.  I have to rely on excerpts from the internet, what others say about it and what i can get away with reading for free at Barnes & Nobel before someone asks me if im going to read it or buy it.  So if you want to give me a copy, feel free.  I would enjoy an early birthday present.]

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The Conservative Case for Gay Marriage

Ted Olson (right) and David Boise, normally two attorneys on opposite sides of the courtrooom (who even argued against each other in Gore v. Bush in 2000) have taken up the task of arguing against Prop 8 in US Supreme Court (SCOTUS).  Their move is rather controversial, even among gay rights activists, as some beleive the movement isnt ready to take this issue of gay-marriage to the nations highest court; wanting to wait until more local and state victories before asking SCOTUS to rule.  Nevertheless, this dynamic duo of legal clout is marching forward.

In a recent NEWSWEEK article: The Conservative Case for Gay Marriage, Ted Olson writes why, as a staunch Conservative Republican, he supports legalizing gay-marriage.  It’s three pages long and worth the read.  Here is an excerpt:

Many of my fellow conservatives have an almost knee-jerk hostility toward gay marriage. This does not make sense, because same-sex unions promote the values conservatives prize. Marriage is one of the basic building blocks of our neighborhoods and our nation. At its best, it is a stable bond between two individuals who work to create a loving household and a social and economic partnership. We encourage couples to marry because the commitments they make to one another provide benefits not only to themselves but also to their families and communities. Marriage requires thinking beyond one’s own needs. It transforms two individuals into a union based on shared aspirations, and in doing so establishes a formal investment in the well-being of society. The fact that individuals who happen to be gay want to share in this vital social institution is evidence that conservative ideals enjoy widespread acceptance. Conservatives should celebrate this, rather than lament it.

Legalizing same-sex marriage would also be a recognition of basic American principles, and would represent the culmination of our nation’s commitment to equal rights. It is, some have said, the last major civil-rights milestone yet to be surpassed in our two-century struggle to attain the goals we set for this nation at its formation.

This bedrock American principle of equality is central to the political and legal convictions of Republicans, Democrats, liberals, and conservatives alike. The dream that became America began with the revolutionary concept expressed in the Declaration of Independence in words that are among the most noble and elegant ever written: “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.”

I beleive Ted Olson’s argument is excellent and well thought.  However, i can’t say its an argument that i haven’t already heard from pre-existing gay-marriage advocates.  As an openly gay young man, i find it comforting that these arguments exist in the face of ignorance and discrimination.  But i admit i am still concerned how ready SCOTUS is to hear on the constitutionality of gay-marriage.  SCOTUS is a conservative body by its nature, not necessarily because of who sits on the bench.  The court just doesn’t like to rock the boat, so to speak, on a regular basis.  It is true  SCOTUS has good history with judging on the side of equality, but we must remember that cases like Brown v. Board were decided not on their own but after a slew of smaller cases were faught and won by civil-rights activists.  It wasn’t a “break” from tradition as much as i believe some like to argue it is.  The court had good precedent to rule the way it did.  So we need to ensure that the precedent exists to allow SCOTUS to rule in favor of marriage equality and not be hindered by its own conservative nature.

Read the full NEWSWEEK article here

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Should Dems Be Worried?

Its no secret that i am a big fan of Hardball with Chris Matthews.  Nevertheless, i was catching up on the show from last night when i saw this opening segment on the atmosphere in the Democratic Party following the recent high profile retirements.

I thought about whether or not i should post an opinion blog about what i saw, given that i do have opinions (obviously).  But i decided to leave it as a question to readers. 

Should Democrats be worried going in to 2010 campaign season?  What does this mean for Dems running in California in moderate and conservative areas? Check out these videos: The first one has Chris Matthews talking with Democratic and Republican strategists and the second is a segment called “The Politics Fix”.

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